[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"cms-page:\u002Fblog\u002Fsmx-london-attribution-modelling-russell-mcathy":3},{"date":4,"date_gmt":4,"content":5,"sticky":7,"format":8,"categories":9,"collections":11,"coauthors":16,"class_list":18,"acf":28,"head_links":416,"breadcrumbs":417,"reading_minutes":147,"category":424,"head":426},"2017-05-23T15:11:14",{"rendered":6},"\u003Cp>Tracking is broken. Your direct traffic isn’t really your direct traffic, says \u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Ftwitter.com\u002Ftherustybear\">Russell from Cubed\u003C\u002Fa>. There is an inherent problem.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>The attribution models Google gives us are incorrect. The future will be data-driven, as \u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"\u002Fblog\u002Fsmx-london-attribution-cross-device\u002F\">Rebekah\u003C\u002Fa> said.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>So… we live in a world of multi-channel, and we need a better understanding of what each visit is and where it comes from. The way the attribution modelling works in Google is only based on channels, so will only inform optimisations at a channel level.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>The main thing we want to do, though, is to understand how to drive ROI. GA’s last click model is definitely wrong, so if we put our data through proper attribution models, we can better understand and associate costs to our visits too. There is always a need for ROI in any channel and we need to attribute ROI to every channel that plays a part.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>So how do we do this?\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>The kind of system we have within Google is at a channel level. The reason we have to use machine learning is that for PPC, we need a deeper level of understanding. If you’re running stuff through AdWords or Doubleclick, you’re trusting Google’s data – and with the free attribution model it will release later today, we’re having to trust again.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>The cool thing with machine learning is that it will understand the links between channels. Those people who have done four or five things with us but haven’t converted, we can work out what the chances of conversion are if we do anything else.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>We can use Russell’s tool to work out the probability of conversion, to be able to amend our bids accordingly.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>\u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fwww.seerinteractive.com\u002Fblog\u002Fdirect-traffic-is-dark-traffic-and-thats-ok\u002F\">Russell says to check out this article from Seer, where they look at the direct traffic issue.\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>Direct is a clear indicator of brand awareness. But if we have it all clogged up with untagged PPC or untagged offline campaigns etc etc, we’ll never know its value.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>Attribution is so important, but don’t always believe what you see.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",false,"standard",[10],40,[12],{"id":13,"name":14,"path":15},63,"SMX","\u002Fblog\u002Fcollection\u002Fsmx\u002F",[17],135,[19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27],"post-3116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ppc","collections-smx",{"page_content_modules":29,"hero":143},[30,96],{"acf_fc_layout":31,"reduced":32,"top_overlap":-1,"bottom_underlap":-1,"disable_observer":32,"title":33,"content":6,"authors":34},"blog_post_content",true,"SMX London: Attribution Modelling – Russell McAthy",[35],{"id":36,"path":37,"display_name":38,"job_title":39,"description":40,"avatar_url":41,"acf":42},33,"\u002Fabout\u002Four-team\u002Fimpression-team\u002F","Team Impression","","This post may have been written by a past member of the Impression team, or be a collaboration of us all. We hope you like it!","https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress&fit=crop&fm=jpg&h=150&q=80&w=150&bg=CFE6F9",{"job_title":39,"full_bio":39,"specialist_service_links":7,"photo":43},{"ID":44,"id":44,"title":45,"filename":46,"filesize":47,"url":48,"link":49,"alt":39,"author":50,"description":39,"caption":39,"name":51,"status":52,"uploaded_to":47,"date":53,"modified":53,"menu_order":47,"mime_type":54,"type":55,"subtype":56,"icon":57,"width":58,"height":58,"sizes":59},12476,"Impression-Icon","Impression-Icon.jpg",0,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&q=90","\u002Fimpression-icon\u002F","12","impression-icon","inherit","2021-11-02 16:49:21","image\u002Fjpeg","image","jpeg","\u002Fwp\u002Fwp-includes\u002Fimages\u002Fmedia\u002Fdefault.png",500,{"thumbnail":60,"thumbnail-width":61,"thumbnail-height":61,"medium":62,"medium-width":63,"medium-height":63,"medium_large":64,"medium_large-width":65,"medium_large-height":65,"large":66,"large-width":67,"large-height":68,"1536x1536":69,"1536x1536-width":70,"1536x1536-height":70,"2048x2048":71,"2048x2048-width":72,"2048x2048-height":72,"post-thumbnail":73,"post-thumbnail-width":74,"post-thumbnail-height":75,"12_col":76,"12_col-width":77,"12_col-height":78,"default_landscape":79,"default_landscape-width":80,"default_landscape-height":81,"default_portrait":82,"default_portrait-width":81,"default_portrait-height":80,"6_col_and_margin_short":83,"6_col_and_margin_short-width":74,"6_col_and_margin_short-height":78,"11_col_and_margin":84,"11_col_and_margin-width":85,"11_col_and_margin-height":78,"9_col_rectangle":86,"9_col_rectangle-width":87,"9_col_rectangle-height":88,"11_col":89,"11_col-width":90,"11_col-height":78,"staff_image_696_600":91,"staff_image_696_600-width":92,"staff_image_696_600-height":81,"rectangular_thumbnail":93,"rectangular_thumbnail-width":94,"rectangular_thumbnail-height":95},"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=640&q=90&w=640","640","https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=scale&h=200&q=90&w=200",200,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=scale&h=768&q=90&w=768",768,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=1000&q=90&w=1892","1892","1000","https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=scale&h=1536&q=90&w=1536",1536,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=scale&h=2048&q=90&w=2048",2048,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=1180&q=90&w=1860",1860,1180,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=870&q=90&w=2880",2880,870,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=600&q=90&w=800",800,600,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=800&q=90&w=600","https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=870&q=90&w=1860","https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=870&q=90&w=3080",3080,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=1400&q=90&w=2150",2150,1400,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=870&q=90&w=2640",2640,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=600&q=90&w=696",696,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F11\u002FImpression-Icon.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=300&q=90&w=750",750,300,{"acf_fc_layout":97,"reduced":32,"top_overlap":98,"bottom_underlap":98,"disable_observer":-1,"heading":99,"cta_text":100,"cta_link":101,"items":102},"related_module","small","See more posts","See all articles","\u002Fblog\u002F",[103,119,131],{"type_key":20,"title":104,"excerpt":105,"to":106,"postedAt":107,"readingTime":108,"image":109,"authors":110,"category":116},"What’s new in Paid Media: August 2026 industry updates","\u003Cp>Whilst for many of us the summer holidays are in full swing, the ad platforms haven’t taken a single day off. If you’re just heading back to the office after a stint at the beach, here’s what you missed in August. Meta AI rolls out campaign analysis and optimisation in Ads Manager Meta has built […]\u003C\u002Fp>\n","\u002Fblog\u002Fwhats-new-in-paid-media-august-2026-industry-updates\u002F","2026-09-01T12:00:26",6,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2026\u002F09\u002Fnikolett-emmert-LFY3Lo-V07A-unsplash.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=640&q=90&w=640",[111,113],{"name":112,"image":41},"Joe Turnbull",{"name":114,"image":115},"Akshaya Korada","https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2026\u002F01\u002FAkshaya-Korada.png?auto=compress&fit=crop&fm=jpg&h=150&q=80&w=150&bg=CFE6F9",{"to":117,"name":118},"\u002Fblog\u002Fcategory\u002Fppc\u002F","PPC",{"type_key":20,"title":120,"excerpt":121,"to":122,"postedAt":123,"readingTime":124,"image":125,"authors":126,"category":130},"What’s new in Paid Media: July 2026 industry updates","\u003Cp>The sun’s finally out, but paid media hasn’t slowed down to enjoy it. Here’s what’s been going on while you were meant to be on the beach. Reddit upgrades Ads Manager with Split Testing and an AI ad generator A Free-form Ads Generator is entering beta, which uses Reddit Community Intelligence to scan your website, […]\u003C\u002Fp>\n","\u002Fblog\u002Fwhats-new-in-paid-media-july-2026-industry-updates\u002F","2026-08-04T11:16:31",5,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fgetty-images-BRL3vv9p-Fw-unsplash.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=640&q=90&w=640",[127,129],{"name":128,"image":41},"Harry Clements",{"name":114,"image":115},{"to":117,"name":118},{"type_key":20,"title":132,"excerpt":133,"to":134,"postedAt":135,"readingTime":136,"image":137,"authors":138,"category":142},"What’s new in Paid Media: June 2026 industry updates","\u003Cp>Welcome to the latest blog from the  Impression Paid Media Team, where we uncover the latest news and trends to help you stay ahead of the curve. Keep reading to discover: Google Delays the move from Dynamic Search Ads to AI Max Google surprised advertisers in June by delaying the automatic migration of Dynamic Search […]\u003C\u002Fp>\n","\u002Fblog\u002Fwhats-new-in-paid-media-june-2026-industry-updates\u002F","2026-06-24T11:26:41",7,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2026\u002F06\u002Fandrey-grinkevich-0x6RTts1jRU-unsplash-1.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=640&q=90&w=640",[139,140],{"name":128,"image":41},{"name":141,"image":41},"Jennifer Shin",{"to":117,"name":118},{"type":144,"style":145,"heading":33,"date":4,"updatedAt":146,"reading_minutes":147,"image":148,"imageAlt":33,"categories":149,"collections":334},"blog-post","light","2022-02-07T16:48:38",2,"https:\u002F\u002Fimages.impression.co.uk\u002F2021\u002F07\u002FcQhFtnX2-050720211625524388_russell-mcathy-smx-london-scaled.jpg?auto=compress%2Cformat&fit=crop&h=1180&q=90&w=1860",[150],{"id":10,"count":151,"description":152,"link":117,"name":118,"slug":153,"taxonomy":154,"parent":47,"meta":155,"acf":156,"head_links":157,"resource_count":158,"yoast_title":159,"yoast_meta":160,"yoast_json_ld":204,"_links":302,"path":117},271,"\u003Cp class=\"p1\">Keeping up to date with the latest digital trends, strategies, and announcements can be difficult. Our digital experts regularly blog about the PPC news that’s stirring up the industry, so check back regularly or sign up to our newsletter to stay informed!\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\r\n\u003Cp class=\"p1\">Find out more about our \u003Ca href=\"\u002Fpaid-media\u002Fppc\u002F\">PPC services\u003C\u002Fa>, or browse our latest tips, advice and opinions below.\u003C\u002Fp>","ppc","category",[],[],[],16,"PPC Blog | PPC Tips, Advice & Guides | Impression",[161,163,166,169,172,175,178,180,182,184,187,190,193,196,198,201],{"property":162,"content":159},"title",{"property":164,"content":165},"description","Keeping up to date with the latest PPC trends, strategies, and announcements can be difficult. 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